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2024-12-14 01:28:15

However, the index itself belongs to the upward trend of shock. After the excessive rise increases the selling, although the short-term market has fallen back, it is difficult to change the upward pattern of shock.The first message, today, the morning market in call auction opened 2.58% higher, which is more common in the historical market. A-shares have opened more than 230 times since 1990, and the increase of 2%-3% has dropped to 55%. If it is more than 4% higher than that on November 8, the winning rate is less than 50%.Today's trend, with the roller coaster market closing, is really surprising and happy. Surprisingly, A shares went low after opening higher. It seems that the market in recent years is going low every time it opens higher. The big yinxian line similar to October 8 is still fresh in my mind, and today history repeats itself.


My thinking is that the current market does not have the characteristics of ending the rally. Although the A50 futures index fell more than 3%, the intraday index of A shares did not turn green.However, the index itself belongs to the upward trend of shock. After the excessive rise increases the selling, although the short-term market has fallen back, it is difficult to change the upward pattern of shock.If today's rising market will bring the trend of stepping back to 3230 points for the later trend, then the high point of the market today and the high point of 3509 points in November are expected to form a double-top shape, which is the signal that the current round of rising at 3227 points is over.


The second message is that the market rose to 3494.87 points today, a step away from 3500 points.It shows that the higher the market is, the higher the probability of the index going high and low is.There are two evolution processes in my forecast of the market outlook:

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